Time Series and Forecasting
This section contains the following topics:
ARIMA Models
ARMA Function—Computes least-squares or method-of-moments estimates of parameters and optionally computes forecasts and their associated probability limits.
MAX_ARMA Function—Exact maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters in a univariate ARMA (autoregressive, moving average) time series model.
AUTO_UNI_AR Function—Automatic selection and fitting of a univariate autoregressive time series model.
TS_OUTLIER_IDENTIFICATION Function—Detects and determines outliers and simultaneously estimates the model parameters in a time series whose underlying outlier free series follows a general seasonal or nonseasonal ARMA model.
TS_OUTLIER_FORECAST Function—Computes forecasts, their associated probability limits and y weights for an outlier contaminated time series whose underlying outlier free series follows a general seasonal or nonseasonal ARMA model.
AUTO_ARIMA Function—Automatically identifies time series outliers, determines parameters of a multiplicative seasonal ARIMA model and produces forecasts that incorporate the effects of outliers whose effects persist beyond the end of the series.
SEASONAL_FIT Function—Estimates the optimum seasonality parameters for a time series using an autoregressive model, AR(
p), to represent the time series.
Model Construction and Evaluation Utilities
MULTI_CROSS Function—Computes the multichannel cross-correlation function of two mutually stationary multichannel time series.
GARCH Modeling
GARCH Function—Compute estimates of the parameters of a GARCH(
p,
q) model.
Frequency Domain Modeling
KALMAN Procedure—Performs Kalman filtering and evaluates the likelihood function for the statespace model.